How it turned out
We projected about 3.1 goals; the game finished with 7. Both teams scored. We made Al Ahli to win 55%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.1 goals from Al Shabab and 2.0 from Al Ahli, so Al Ahli come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Al Ahli come into this on five straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Al Ahli to win. Al Ahli shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.1-2.0), and we make them about 56% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 55 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.05, which works out at about 49 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Al Ahli have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
