How it turned out
We projected about 3.2 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Rangers (Draw No Bet) 65%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
The game looks fairly even in terms of chances. Our goal expectations are 1.2 for Aberdeen and 1.9 for Rangers, which adds up to about three goals total. That suggests both teams will have opportunities and the match could open up, rather than being a defensive slog.
Looking at recent form, Aberdeen have only managed one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five league outings, whether at home or away. Rangers, on the other hand, have been much stronger, winning four of their previous five games and losing just once. They also come into this fixture on a run of four straight victories, which gives them clear momentum.
We back Rangers with a Draw No Bet selection. The price of 1.37 matches our view of the match and offers a safe way to back the stronger side – if the game ends level we get our stake back, and only a Rangers loss would hurt us. With a 70 % chance of success in our eyes, the pick feels solid.
The only way this could go wrong is if Aberdeen manage to hold the stronger side at bay and keep the game level for the full 90 minutes. A draw would return our stake, but a surprise win for the home team would cost us. We are fairly confident in our view, but we recognise a tight defensive display from Aberdeen could upset the balance.
Recent meetings
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
