What to expect
We expect about 2.7 goals from Celtic and 0.8 from Aberdeen, so Celtic come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.4 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Celtic come into this on four straight wins. Aberdeen come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Celtic to win. Celtic are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.7-0.8), and we make them about 82% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 82 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.27, which works out at about 79 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
One thing to watch
A red card, a penalty or a smash-and-grab is all it takes for Aberdeen to spoil this.
