How it turned out
We projected about 2.9 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Both teams to score 61%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
Kilmarnock look a little stronger on paper, with an average of 1.6 goals a game compared with St Mirren’s 1.4. The match should have a decent amount of action, not a defensive stalemate. Both sides have shown they can find the net, so we expect chances at both ends.
In recent weeks Kilmarnock have been inconsistent, winning one, drawing two and losing two in their last five league outings. St Mirren have been a bit steadier, with one win, two draws and one loss in their last four. The pattern shows neither team is dominating, but both are capable of scoring, which points to an open game.
We pick both teams to score. The numbers suggest each side will get on the scoresheet about 60 % of the time, and the price of 1.59 matches our view of the game. It looks like a fair price for a result that should see goals from both sides.
For the pick to fail, both teams would need to keep a clean sheet. That would require a very tight defensive display, which is unlikely given the recent goal averages. We feel confident in our view and think the chance of both sides scoring is high.
Recent meetings
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