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Football/Scottish Premiership/Celtic v Hearts
Scottish Premiership · Celtic Park

Celtic v Hearts prediction

Celtic crestCelticWWWLL
v
Hearts crestHeartsWWWLD

What to expect

We expect about 1.9 goals from Celtic and 1.1 from Hearts, so Celtic come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Celtic come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Over 2.5 goals. This should be an open game: we make it around 3.0 goals between the two (xG 1.9-1.1), landing about 63% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.

We put the chance of that landing at about 61 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.49, which works out at about 67 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
Celtic have won three of their last five.
Hearts have won three of their last five.
Five of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

16 May 2026Celtic 3 - 1 Hearts
25 Jan 2026Hearts 2 - 2 Celtic
7 Dec 2025Celtic 1 - 2 Hearts
26 Oct 2025Hearts 3 - 1 Celtic
29 Mar 2025Celtic 3 - 0 Hearts
The last five meetings are split 2-2, with one drawn.

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