How it turned out
We projected about 2.9 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.8 goals from Hibernian and 1.2 from Falkirk, so Hibernian come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Hibernian to score 2 or fewer. This is about Hibernian's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.8 on the day, and the bet wants them to 2 or fewer, which we make about 75%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.32, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Hibernian have won two of the last four meetings, with one drawn.
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