How it turned out
We projected about 3.3 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Rangers to score 74%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 2.0 goals from Celtic and 1.3 from Rangers, so Celtic come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.3 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Celtic come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Rangers to score. This is about Rangers's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.4 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 74%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.24, which works out at about 81 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Rangers have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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