How it turned out
We projected about 2.6 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Dundee to score 70%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.2 goals from Dundee FC and 1.5 from Motherwell, so Motherwell come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Dundee to score. This is about Dundee's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.2 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 70%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 70 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.30, which works out at about 77 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
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