How it turned out
We projected about 3.1 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Dundee to score 71%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.9 goals from Falkirk and 1.2 from Dundee FC, so Falkirk come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Dundee to score. This is about Dundee's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.2 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 71%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 71 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.36, which works out at about 74 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
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