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Football/Scottish Premiership/Motherwell v Celtic
Scottish Premiership · Fir Park

Motherwell v Celtic prediction

Motherwell crestMotherwellDWLWL
v
Celtic crestCelticWWWLL

What to expect

We expect about 1.2 goals from Motherwell and 1.7 from Celtic, so Celtic come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Celtic come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Celtic to score 2 or fewer. This is about Celtic's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.7 on the day, and the bet wants them to 2 or fewer, which we make about 74%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.57, which works out at about 64 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.

What the numbers say
Motherwell have won two of their last five.
Celtic have won three of their last five.
Four of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

13 May 2026Motherwell 2 - 3 Celtic
14 Mar 2026Celtic 3 - 1 Motherwell
30 Dec 2025Motherwell 2 - 0 Celtic
5 Oct 2025Celtic 3 - 2 Motherwell
2 Feb 2025Motherwell 1 - 3 Celtic
Celtic have won four of the last five meetings.

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