How it turned out
We projected about 3.2 goals; the game finished with 2.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.1 goals from Motherwell and 2.1 from Celtic, so Celtic come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.2 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Motherwell come into this on two straight defeats. Celtic come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Celtic to score 2 or fewer. This is about Celtic's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.7 on the day, and the bet wants them to 2 or fewer, which we make about 74%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.52, which works out at about 66 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Celtic have won four of the last five meetings.
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