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Football/Scottish Premiership/Hearts v St Mirren
Scottish Premiership · Accra Sports Stadium

Hearts v St Mirren prediction

Hearts crestHeartsWWWWL
v
St Mirren crestSt MirrenWDWLL

What to expect

We expect about 1.8 goals from Hearts and 0.8 from St Mirren, so Hearts come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

St Mirren come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Hearts to score 2 or fewer. This is about Hearts's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.8 on the day, and the bet wants them to 2 or fewer, which we make about 69%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 69 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.44, which works out at about 69 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
Hearts have won four of their last five.
St Mirren have won two of their last five.
Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

3 Feb 2026St Mirren 1 - 0 Hearts
14 Jan 2026Hearts 2 - 0 St Mirren
29 Oct 2025St Mirren 2 - 2 Hearts
26 Feb 2025Hearts 3 - 1 St Mirren
19 Oct 2024Hearts 4 - 0 St Mirren
Hearts have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.

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