How it turned out
We projected about 2.6 goals; the game finished with 5. We made Vojvodina to win 38%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.2 goals from Čukarički and 1.4 from Vojvodina, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Vojvodina come into this on five straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Vojvodina to win. Vojvodina shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.2-1.4), and we make them about 40% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 38 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.85, which works out at about 54 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
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