How it turned out
We projected about 2.2 goals; the game finished with 6. Both teams scored. We made Železničar Pančevo (Draw No Bet) 68%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from Železničar Pančevo and 0.8 from FK Radnik Surdulica, so Železničar Pančevo come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.2 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Our pick: Železničar Pančevo (Draw No Bet). Železničar Pančevo are favoured here (xG 1.4-0.8), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Železničar Pančevo defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 68 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.51, which works out at about 66 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
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