How it turned out
We projected about 2.8 goals; the game finished with 8. Both teams scored. We made Partizan Beograd to win 47%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.1 goals from FK Radnik Surdulica and 1.6 from Partizan Beograd, so Partizan Beograd come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
FK Radnik Surdulica come into this on two straight draws. Partizan Beograd come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Partizan Beograd to win. Partizan Beograd shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.1-1.6), and we make them about 48% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 47 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.91, which works out at about 52 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Partizan Beograd have won five of the last five meetings.
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