How it turned out
We projected about 1.9 goals; the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Mladost Lučani to win 37%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 0.9 goals from Mačva Šabac and 0.9 from Mladost Lučani, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 1.9 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Our pick: Mladost Lučani to win. Mladost Lučani shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.9-1.0), and we make them about 38% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 37 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.80, which works out at about 36 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Mladost Lučani have won five of the last five meetings.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
