How it turned out
We projected about 2.3 goals; the game finished with 0. We made FK Radnički 1923 to win 50%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.0 goals from Mačva Šabac and 1.3 from FK Radnički 1923, so FK Radnički 1923 come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: FK Radnički 1923 to win. FK Radnički 1923 shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.0-1.3), and we make them about 52% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 50 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.99, which works out at about 50 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
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