What to expect
We expect about 2.4 goals from Vojvodina and 0.5 from FK Zemun, so Vojvodina come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Vojvodina to win. Vojvodina are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.4-0.5), and we make them about 85% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 85 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.15, which works out at about 87 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
One thing to watch
A red card, a penalty or a smash-and-grab is all it takes for FK Zemun to spoil this. We make it about 85% and the price sits right on top of that, so there's little cushion if it turns.
