Partizan Beograd v Vojvodina: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 3.0 goals; the game finished with 5. Both teams scored. We made Partizan Beograd to win 39%. It lost.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.7 goals from Partizan Beograd and 1.3 from Vojvodina, so Partizan Beograd come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Vojvodina come into this on five straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Partizan Beograd to win. Partizan Beograd are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.7-1.3), and we make them about 40% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.

We put the chance of that landing at about 39 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.35, which works out at about 43 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.