How it turned out
We projected about 2.6 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Both teams to score 59%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.0 goals from Frosinone and 1.5 from Juventus, so Juventus come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Frosinone come into this on four straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.0-1.5), and we make both teams to score about 59%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 59 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.05, which works out at about 49 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent meetings
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