What to expect
We expect about 1.1 goals from Genoa and 1.4 from Milan, so Milan come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Genoa come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Milan or Draw. This covers Milan or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.21, which works out at about 83 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Milan have won two of the last five meetings, with three drawn.
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