What to expect
We expect about 0.9 goals from Parma and 1.2 from Bologna, so Bologna come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.2 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Bologna come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Bologna or Draw. This covers Bologna or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 78 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.22, which works out at about 82 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Parma have won two of the last four meetings, with one drawn.
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