What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Avellino and 0.9 from Padova, so Avellino come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Padova come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Avellino or Draw. This covers Avellino or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 76 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.30, which works out at about 77 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Avellino have won one of the last two meetings, with one drawn.
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