What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Cesena and 1.1 from Avellino, so Cesena come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Cesena or Draw. This covers Cesena or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 70 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.33, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓Cesena have won one of their last five.
✓Avellino have won three of their last five.
Recent meetings
31 Jan 2026Avellino 3 - 1 Cesena
9 Nov 2025Cesena 3 - 0 Avellino
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