What to expect
We expect about 1.7 goals from Pisa and 1.2 from Cremonese, so Pisa come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Pisa or Draw. This covers Pisa or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.29, which works out at about 78 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓Pisa have won two of their last five.
✓Cremonese are unbeaten in their last five — two wins and three draws.
✓Four of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
10 May 2026Cremonese 3 - 0 Pisa
7 Nov 2025Pisa 1 - 0 Cremonese
13 May 2025Pisa 2 - 1 Cremonese
3 Nov 2024Cremonese 1 - 3 Pisa
1 May 2024Cremonese 2 - 1 Pisa
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