How it turned out
We projected about 2.5 goals; the game finished with 7. Both teams scored. We made DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda (Draw No Bet) 70%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 0.9 goals from Skalica and 1.6 from DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda, so DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda (Draw No Bet). DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda are favoured here (xG 0.9-1.6), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 70 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.33, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
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