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Football/Slovakia 1. Liga/Trenčín v Ružomberok
Slovakia 1. Liga

Trenčín v Ružomberok: how it went

Trenčín crestTrenčín11th of 12 · 5 pts
2 - 1
Ružomberok crestRužomberok12th of 12 · 5 ptsLDWLW
Full time

How it turned out

We projected about 2.6 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Trenčín to win 45%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.4 goals from Trenčín and 1.2 from Ružomberok, so Trenčín come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Trenčín to win. Trenčín are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.4-1.2), and we make them about 47% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.

We put the chance of that landing at about 45 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.30, which works out at about 43 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
✓Ružomberok have won two of their last five.

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