How it turned out
We projected about 3.0 goals; the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made Slovan Bratislava to win 65%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 0.9 goals from Skalica and 2.1 from Slovan Bratislava, so Slovan Bratislava come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Skalica come into this on two straight defeats. Slovan Bratislava come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Slovan Bratislava to win. Slovan Bratislava shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.9-2.1), and we make them about 66% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 65 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.51, which works out at about 66 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Slovan Bratislava have won five of the last five meetings.
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