How it turned out
We projected about 2.7 goals; the game finished with 0. We made Olimpija Ljubljana (Draw No Bet) 61%, but the stake came back in full.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.0 goals from Radomlje and 1.7 from Olimpija Ljubljana, so Olimpija Ljubljana come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Olimpija Ljubljana (Draw No Bet). Olimpija Ljubljana are favoured here (xG 1.0-1.6), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Olimpija Ljubljana defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 61 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.37, which works out at about 73 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
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