Kruger United v Richards Bay: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 1.9 goals; the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Kruger United or Draw 70%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.0 goals from Kruger United and 1.0 from Richards Bay, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 1.9 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.

Richards Bay come into this on five straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Kruger United or Draw. This covers Kruger United or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 70 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.25, which works out at about 80 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.