How it turned out
We projected about 1.7 goals; the game finished with 0. We made Polokwane City or Draw 74%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 0.9 goals from Polokwane City and 0.8 from TS Galaxy, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 1.7 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Polokwane City come into this on two straight defeats. TS Galaxy come into this on four straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Polokwane City or Draw. This covers Polokwane City or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.23, which works out at about 81 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Polokwane City have won two of the last five meetings, with three drawn.
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