How it turned out
We projected about 2.0 goals and the game finished with 2. We made Stellenbosch FC or Draw 84%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.3 goals from Stellenbosch FC and 0.6 from Chippa United, so Stellenbosch FC come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.0 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Chippa United come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Stellenbosch FC or Draw. This covers Stellenbosch FC or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 84 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.18, which works out at about 85 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Stellenbosch FC have won three of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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