How it turned out
We projected about 2.3 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.6 goals from Besiktas and 0.7 from Kocaelispor, so Besiktas come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Besiktas to score 2 or fewer. This is about Besiktas's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.5 on the day, and the bet wants them to 2 or fewer, which we make about 77%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.71, which works out at about 58 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Besiktas have won two of the last two meetings.
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