Gaziantep v Corum: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 3.4 goals and the game finished with 3.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.8 goals from Gaziantep and 1.6 from Corum, so Gaziantep come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.4 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Our pick: Gaziantep to score. This is about Gaziantep's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.8 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 82%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 82 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.31, which works out at about 76 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.