How it turned out
We projected about 3.3 goals and the game finished with 3. We made Rizespor to score 69%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from Rizespor and 1.9 from Fenerbahce, so Fenerbahce come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.3 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Rizespor to score. This is about Rizespor's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.4 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 69%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 69 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.47, which works out at about 68 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Fenerbahce have won four of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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