How it turned out
We projected about 2.5 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Samsunspor to score 78%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.1 goals from Erzurumspor and 1.4 from Samsunspor, so Samsunspor come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Samsunspor come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Samsunspor to score. This is about Samsunspor's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.4 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 78%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 78 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.34, which works out at about 75 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
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