What to expect
We expect about 2.5 goals from Fenerbahce and 0.9 from Eyupspor, so Fenerbahce come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.4 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Fenerbahce to win. Fenerbahce are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.5-0.9), and we make them about 76% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.19, which works out at about 84 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓Fenerbahce have won two of their last five.
✓Eyupspor have won one of their last five.
✓Three of the last four meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last four meetings.
Recent meetings
17 May 2026Fenerbahce 3 - 3 Eyupspor
20 Dec 2025Eyupspor 0 - 3 Fenerbahce
18 May 2025Fenerbahce 2 - 1 Eyupspor
20 Dec 2024Eyupspor 1 - 1 Fenerbahce
