How it turned out
We projected about 2.5 goals; the game finished with 0. We made Kasimpasa to score 80%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
Kasimpasa host Konyaspor at home in a Süper Lig clash on 18 September 2026. Kasimpasa sit comfortably above the relegation zone while Konyaspor sit 16th of 18, three points from safety after five games. The table shows Konyaspor in the drop places with a –4 goal difference, just one point behind Erzurumspor FK and level with Eyüpspor below. The two clubs are close in the standings but Kasimpasa are the stronger side on the numbers we have, and a win would push Konyaspor deeper into trouble.
Kasimpasa have been hard to beat in their recent run. In their last eight games they have won three, drawn four and lost only once. The most recent result was a 2-1 away win over Genclerbirligi. Before that they drew 2-2 with Amedspor at home, then 1-1 away at Buyuksehyr, beat Corum 1-0 away, drew 1-1 with Trabzonspor at home and beat Galatasaray 1-0 at home. Over those eight matches they have scored eleven goals and let in nine, keeping two clean sheets. They have not lost in their last six games and in their last four home outings they have one win and three draws.
Konyaspor have struggled badly. In their last eight games they have managed only one win and have been beaten seven times. Their most recent victory came a few weeks ago when they edged Trabzonspor 1-0 at home. Since then they have lost 1-0 away to Erzurumspor FK, 1-0 away again to Erzurumspor, 2-1 at home to Kocaelispor, 4-2 away to Fenerbahce and 1-0 at home to Rizespor. In those eight games they have scored five goals while conceding fourteen, keeping just one clean sheet and failing to find the net in four matches. Their last road game was a loss, making four straight defeats away from home.
When the two sides meet the games have been tight. In the last five meetings Kasimpasa have not won, Konyaspor have won twice and three matches ended in draws. Those games have produced an average of 3.4 goals. The most recent encounter on 8 March 2026 finished 1-1, a low-scoring draw that showed both teams can find the net but also keep things close. Given Kasimpasa’s recent scoring form and Konyaspor’s difficulty away from home, we expect another modest scoring affair.
Our pick is Kasimpasa to score. We think they will find the net about 80 % of the time, which matches the price of 1.29 that sits close to our own view. The bet only needs Kasimpasa to get a goal, not to win the match. It would go wrong if Konyaspor manage a clean sheet again, which has happened in four of their recent eight games, or if Kasimpasa’s attack stalls completely. Otherwise the odds look good for a simple goal from the home side.
Recent results
Konyaspor have won two of the last five meetings, with three drawn.
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