How it turned out
We projected about 3.2 goals and the game finished with 4.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.5 goals from Trabzonspor and 1.7 from Galatasaray, so Galatasaray come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.2 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Trabzonspor to score. This is about Trabzonspor's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.6 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 76%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 76 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.21, which works out at about 83 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Galatasaray have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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