How it turned out
We projected about 2.8 goals; the game finished with 4. We made Galatasaray to win 56%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.1 goals from Konyaspor and 1.7 from Galatasaray, so Galatasaray come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Galatasaray come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Galatasaray to win. Galatasaray shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.1-1.7), and we make them about 57% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 56 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.70, which works out at about 59 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Galatasaray have won four of the last five meetings.
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