How it turned out
We projected about 2.8 goals and the game finished with 3. We made Samsunspor to score 71%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from Samsunspor and 1.4 from Trabzonspor, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Samsunspor come into this on four straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Samsunspor to score. This is about Samsunspor's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.4 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 71%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 71 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.34, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Samsunspor have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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