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Football/Swiss Super League/Basel v Sion
Swiss Super League · St. Jakob-Park

Basel v Sion: how it went

Basel crestBasel4th of 12 · 13 ptsWLWWD
1 - 2
Sion crestSion3rd of 12 · 19 ptsDLWWL
Full time

How it turned out

We projected about 2.8 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Both teams to score 64%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

Basel host Sion at home in the Swiss Super League on 3 September 2026. Basel sit third in the 12-team table with ten points from five games and a +3 goal difference. They are two points behind Lugano in fourth place and two points ahead of Luzern in fifth. Sion are down in seventh, with six points from four matches and a +1 goal difference, sitting in the relegation zone. One spot above them is Thun, a point clear, while Lausanne sit just below them on equal points. Both clubs are looking to improve their positions, but Basel have more to lose in the chase for European spots, while Sion are fighting to climb out of danger.

Basel’s recent form shows a mixed picture. In their last eight games they have won four, drawn one and lost three. The most recent results are a 3-3 draw with Young Boys away, a 2-1 win at Zurich, another 2-1 win at FC Zürich, a 4-2 victory over Thun at home, a 1-0 loss to Lausanne at home and a 1-0 win at Servette away. They have been unbeaten in their last four matches overall, but at home they have one win and two defeats in the last three fixtures. Across those eight games Basel have scored 13 and let in 15, keeping only one clean sheet and failing to find the net twice. Six of those matches featured three or more goals and both sides scored in five of them.

Sion’s eight-game run is equally volatile. They have recorded three wins, two draws and three defeats. Their latest outings are a 2-1 loss to Lugano at home, a 5-3 defeat by Ajax away, a 3-2 win over Vaduz at home, a 3-0 win against Luzern at home, a 4-2 loss to Young Boys away and a 3-3 draw with Young Boys away. The team comes in on two straight defeats and has not won on the road in their last three away games, managing one draw and two losses. In those eight matches Sion have scored 19 and conceded 18, keeping two clean sheets. Seven of the games produced three or more goals and both sides scored in six of them. They played just four days ago, so the turnaround is short.

The two clubs have met five times recently, with Basel winning two, Sion winning two and one draw. Those games have averaged 1.8 goals each. The most recent encounter was a 0-2 win for Sion at Basel on 26 April 2026. Given the history of close scorelines and the fact that both teams have been involved in high-scoring affairs, we expect another open contest with chances at both ends. The goal expectations of 1.4 for each side underline the likelihood of both sides finding the net.

Our pick is both teams to score. The price of 1.43 is shorter than we think the game deserves, making it an attractive offer. With each side averaging about 1.4 goals and a 64 % chance of both scoring in recent matches, the odds are in our favour. The bet would fail if the game turns into a defensive slog or if one side shuts out the other, but the recent patterns suggest that will be unlikely. We feel confident that both Basel and Sion will get on the scoresheet.

What the numbers say
✓Basel have won three of their last five.
✓Sion have won two of their last five.
✓Five of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in one of the last five meetings.

Recent results

26 Apr 2026Basel 0 - 2 Sion
12 Feb 2026Sion 2 - 0 Basel
18 Jan 2026Basel 1 - 1 Sion
30 Aug 2025Sion 0 - 1 Basel
1 Mar 2025Basel 2 - 0 Sion

The last five meetings are split 2-2, with one drawn.

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