What to expect
We expect about 2.0 goals from Luzern and 1.4 from Lausanne, so Luzern come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.4 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Luzern come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Luzern (Draw No Bet). Luzern are favoured here (xG 2.0-1.4), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Luzern defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 69 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.48, which works out at about 68 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
A draw hands your stake back, so only an outright Lausanne win beats you — but on the day nothing is guaranteed. We make it about 69% and the price sits right on top of that, so there's little cushion if it turns.
