What to expect
We expect about 2.1 goals from Thun and 1.7 from Servette, so Thun come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.8 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Servette come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Thun or Draw. This covers Thun or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 68 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
Two-way cover still leaves one result that beats you, and tight games can turn on a single mistake. We make it about 68%: a lean, not a lock.
