What to expect
We expect about 3.2 goals from Young Boys and 1.7 from Vaduz, so Young Boys come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 4.9 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Vaduz come into this on five straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 3.2-1.7), and we make both teams to score about 68%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 68 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.57, which works out at about 64 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
One well-drilled defence, or a game that turns one-sided, and this is gone. At around 68% on our numbers, it's a solid lean rather than a certainty.
