What to expect
We expect about 2.0 goals from Servette and 1.6 from Luzern, so Servette come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.6 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Servette come into this on two straight wins. Luzern come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Servette (Draw No Bet). Servette are favoured here (xG 2.1-1.6), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Servette defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 65 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.43, which works out at about 70 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
A draw hands your stake back, so only an outright Luzern win beats you — but on the day nothing is guaranteed. The price is shorter than our own read of about 65%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.
