Thun v Servette: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 3.4 goals; the game finished with 6. Both teams scored. We made Both teams to score 63%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

Thun host Servette at home in the Swiss Super League on 16 September 2026. Both clubs sit in the relegation zone with Thun in 10th place on seven points from seven games and Servette just one spot above them in ninth, also on seven points. The gap between them is zero points, while FC Vaduz sit below Thun with one point less and Grasshopper sit above Servette with one point more. A win for either side could lift them out of the bottom three, so the stakes are high for both clubs.

Thun have not enjoyed a good run of form. In their last eight matches they have won two, drawn one and lost five. The most recent results are a 1-0 loss to Grasshoppers at home, another 1-0 defeat to the same side at home, a 3-2 loss away to Sion, a goalless draw with Lausanne at home, a 4-3 win away at St Gallen and a 4-2 loss away to Basel. That string includes three straight defeats heading into this game. In those eight games Thun have scored eleven goals and let in nineteen, keeping only one clean sheet and failing to find the net in four matches. Four of the games featured three or more goals and both sides scored in four of them. The team played just four days ago, so they are on a short turnaround.

Servette’s form is similarly uneven. Over their last eight fixtures they have recorded three wins, one draw and four defeats. Their latest outings are a 1-0 away win at Lausanne, a 2-0 home loss to St Gallen, a 1-0 away loss to Lugano, a 1-1 home draw with Luzern, a 2-1 home win over Grasshoppers and a 2-1 away loss to Zurich. On the road they have won two and lost two in their last four trips. In total they have scored seven goals and conceded eight, keeping two clean sheets while failing to score in three games. Three of those eight matches produced three or more goals and both teams scored in three of them. Servette also played only three days ago, meaning they too have little rest.

When the two clubs meet, the games have usually been lively. In the last five meetings Thun have won four times and Servette once, with no draws. Those encounters have produced an average of 3.4 goals per match. The most recent clash on 8 February 2026 ended in a 3-1 victory for Thun away from home. Given the goal averages and the fact that both sides have been scoring and conceding regularly, we expect another open contest with chances at both ends.

Our pick is for both teams to score. The numbers suggest Thun will average about 1.8 goals and Servette about 1.6, pointing to an open game. The chance of both sides finding the net sits at 63 per cent, and the price of 1.42 is shorter than our reading of the match. For the pick to fail, one side would need to keep a clean sheet, which would require a tighter defensive display than either team has shown recently. We think the odds are attractive and the match is likely to produce goals on both ends.