What to expect
We expect about 1.6 goals from Dynamo Kyiv and 0.8 from LNZ Cherkasy, so Dynamo Kyiv come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Dynamo Kyiv to win. Dynamo Kyiv are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.6-0.8), and we make them about 58% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 58 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.81, which works out at about 55 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
One thing to watch
Favourites drop points more often than a short price suggests, and one moment can earn LNZ Cherkasy a draw or better. We only make this about 58%, so it's far from a lock.
