What to expect
We expect about 1.2 goals from Kryvbas and 0.9 from FC Kolos Kovalivka, so Kryvbas come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.1 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Our pick: Kryvbas to win. Kryvbas are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.2-0.9), and we make them about 44% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 44 out of 100. The price on offer is 3.00, which works out at about 33 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
One thing to watch
A red card, a penalty or a smash-and-grab is all it takes for FC Kolos Kovalivka to spoil this. We only make this about 44%, so it's far from a lock.
