What to expect
We expect about 0.8 goals from FC Kolos Kovalivka and 1.1 from Karpaty, so Karpaty come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.0 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
FC Kolos Kovalivka come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Karpaty to win. Karpaty shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.8-1.1), and we make them about 44% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 43 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.45, which works out at about 41 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.