What to expect
We expect about 0.6 goals from Liviy Bereh and 1.4 from Polissya Zhytomyr, so Polissya Zhytomyr come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 1.9 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Liviy Bereh come into this on two straight draws. Polissya Zhytomyr come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Polissya Zhytomyr to win. Polissya Zhytomyr shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.5-1.4), and we make them about 60% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 58 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.39, which works out at about 72 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
